Critical Thinking: Credence and Veracity
Critical Thinking and Policy Development and Analysis introduced the concepts of credence and veracity and said they were two sides of the same coin. The coin’s value depends on its credence and veracity. The figure above aligns credence with…
Critical Thinking: Correlation, Causation, and Control
During the fall, I like to step on acorn shells and crack them. There is a satisfying crunch sound that helps to break the monotony of several miles on the neighborhood trails. I understand it is a silly thing…
Critical Thinking: Bounded Rationality and Time
Time is one component of bounded rationality. The Bounded Rationality Model (see the introduction to this series) includes cognitive limitations and information/knowledge quality. Severe time constraints can drive a decision to System 1 approaches, with the decision based on…
Critical Thinking and Policy Development and Analysis
This blog builds upon Part 4: Policy Development. It is the opening part of a series on critical thinking and policy development and analysis. It provides the framework, as shown in the opening figure, for policy development and analysis. Following…
Critical Thinking and International Relations Theory
After the Colonial era, the fall of the Soviet Union, and the First Gulf War, many analysts proclaimed the world was getting safer and humanity was changing for the better. Francis Fukuyama argued this point. Samuel Huntington took a different…
Faustian Bargain Part 3: Beyond the Bargain to a Sustainable Compassionate Conservatism
This is a three-part series on developing the concept of compassionate conservativism to develop effective policies and solutions that address the problems of poverty and its threat to sustainable liberty and prosperity. Both the left and the right entered Faustian…
Faustian Bargain Part 2: Compassionate Conservation: Is it needed? Is it real?
This is a three-part series on developing the concept of compassionate conservativism to develop effective policies and solutions that address the problems of poverty and its threat to sustainable liberty and prosperity. Both the left and the right entered Faustian…
Faustian Bargain, Part 1
This is a three-part series on developing the concept of compassionate conservativism to develop effective policies and solutions that address the problems of poverty and its threat to sustainable liberty and prosperity. Both the left and the right entered Faustian…
Operant Conditioning, Path Dependency and Societal Revolution, Part 3
Source: Discovering Neptune So how do dark philosophers (see Part 2) propagate the dark gospel and create the changes they seek? On the surface, if we only look at the racial aspects, we may reach some misleading and even harmful…
Reconstructing History, Part 10: Means, Motive, and Opportunity
Many of us have seen at least a few episodes of police procedurals and are familiar with the concept of “means, motive, and opportunity”. It is not a new concept. I remember reading about it as a kid in my…
