Surveys, Polls, Cognitive Bias and Election Results
(Source: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/polls-president.html) One common thread in the stories of the 2024 election is that Trump came from behind to win the election. But what if that is not the true story? What if the polling data was flawed? How…
Comparative Politics and Political Change: what Works and Why?
“A Republic, if you can keep it.” Bejamin Franklin. When I was in graduate school, I took a course on comparative political systems. The course readings seemed to favor the parliamentary system, and I took a bit of an…
Politics and Candidate Types
Remember back to the distant past of 1991? The US had just won the Gulf War and President George H. W. Bush was riding high and looked unbeatable. None of the leading Democrats wanted to run against him and risk…